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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Down Under Brief Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Mornington’s weather today, as shown in the live forecast above, is typical for this coastal stretch of Port Phillip. Expect a mix of sea breezes and clear spells, with conditions shifting as the troughs move in from the west.
What’s driving the current conditions over Mornington?
Mornington sits on the Mornington Peninsula, where the bay and Bass Strait both influence daily weather. The live forecast above captures today’s trend: a moderate south-westerly airflow, partly cloudy skies, and temperatures typical for the season. Local wind shifts – the afternoon sea breeze from the bay – often drop the mercury by a few degrees, especially in summer. For those checking the mornington weather hourly updates, expect the coolest readings just before dawn and the warmest around 2–3 pm.
What’s the outlook for the next week or two?
The mornington weather 7 day forecast from the Bureau points to a fairly settled pattern, with a weak cold front mid-week bringing increased cloud and a light shower chance. Looking further ahead, the mornington weather 14 days outlook suggests a return to drier south-easterly flow, while the mornington weather 21 day forecast (a longer-range guide) hints at a more typical late-spring pattern – warm inland days with bay-afternoon cool changes. The bom mornington weather page remains the best source for official updates, particularly for any coastal wind warnings.
When is the best time to visit Mornington for fine weather?
Late summer (February–March) often delivers the most settled days, with sea temperatures warm enough for swimming and less chance of strong northerly winds. Spring can be changeable, but the bay shelter keeps Mornington milder than inland areas.
Does Mornington get much rain?
Mornington receives around 600 mm annually, fairly evenly spread. Winter brings more frequent drizzle from westerly systems, while summer rain tends to come from afternoon thunderstorms that develop over the ranges.
How reliable are the mornington weather hourly forecasts?
Hourly forecasts are most reliable within 48 hours. For coastal Mornington, wind direction and sea-breeze timing can shift quickly – check the live forecast above on the day for the most accurate hour-by-hour picture.
For a broader picture, see our Australia weather hub and the Melbourne Weather page, which covers the same synoptic systems affecting the Peninsula.