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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Down Under Brief Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Melbourne’s weather today, shaped by the live forecast above, is a classic mix of changeable conditions as a trough edges through the Port Phillip region, making a jacket essential until afternoon clears arrive.
What is driving Melbourne’s changeable weather today?
City and bayside suburbs are caught between a slow-moving inland trough and a cool south-westerly airflow off Bass Strait. The live forecast above shows the timing of any showers may shift by an hour or two, especially near the Dandenong Ranges and the Mornington Peninsula.
How will the temperature feel across different suburbs?
Expect a 3–5°C difference between the CBD and outer northern suburbs like Craigieburn, with the trough bringing gusty west to south-west winds by late morning. The live forecast above captures the peak wind strength during that window.
Does this trough mean severe weather for Melbourne?
No. This is an ordinary spring trough. Gusty winds may reach 40–50 km/h in exposed areas, but no severe thunderstorm or fire danger warnings are expected under the live forecast above.
When will the rain clear in the eastern suburbs?
According to the live forecast above, the most likely window for showers in the Yarra Valley and Dandenongs is early to mid-afternoon, then clearing by evening as the trough moves east into Gippsland.
Should I change outdoor plans based on this forecast?
The live forecast above shows a typical Melbourne pattern: a few showers and cool wind, but nothing that would force a cancellation. A light waterproof jacket is wise for any outdoor event near the bay or hills.
For more on how this system fits the broader week ahead, see our Australia weather hub and the dedicated Melbourne Weather page.