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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Down Under Brief Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
For Melbourne over the next fortnight, the Bureau of Meteorology’s 14-day outlook points to a classic spring mix: a few warm, sunny days bookended by cooler, showery spells, with the most settled weather expected around the middle of the period.
What is the 14-day BOM forecast for Melbourne?
The BOM’s extended forecast for Melbourne shows a low-pressure trough moving through early in the period, bringing a chance of showers and a top of 19°C on day one. Conditions then stabilise from mid-week, with mostly sunny skies and highs climbing to 26°C by Friday. The second week introduces another trough, increasing the chance of rain and dropping temperatures back to the low 20s. For an hourly breakdown, check the live forecast above.
Will Melbourne see any severe weather in the 14-day window?
No severe weather warnings are currently active for Melbourne in this 14-day window. The main risk is localised thunder on the first and last days of the period, but nothing out of the ordinary for spring. For real-time alerts, refer to our severe weather warning page.
How accurate is the BOM 14-day forecast for Melbourne?
The BOM’s 14-day outlook is a guidance product, not a day-by-day certainty. Accuracy is highest for the first 7 days (around 80%), dropping to about 50% for the second week. Always check the live forecast above for the latest updates.
Where can I find the BOM hourly forecast for Melbourne 14 days?
The BOM provides hourly data only for the first 7 days on its website. For a 14-day hourly view, third-party sites like Weatherzone and WillyWeather combine BOM data with their own models. The live forecast above offers a reliable hourly breakdown for the full period.
How does the 14-day forecast compare to a 21-day or 30-day outlook?
A 14-day BOM forecast is more reliable than a 21-day or 30-day outlook, which are based on climate models with lower confidence. For planning, the 14-day window is the practical limit for day-to-day decisions. For longer trends, see our Melbourne weather page.